Friday, November 17, 2006

South Africa a foreshadow?

As expected, the quick attempt to build up Iraqi security forces has resulted in much less than ideal police and military units. With Saddam's support of Sunnis, the Shiite security forces are repeating history when the oppressed are freed by taking out past wrongs on the people who are identified with the overthrown leadership. Although less violent, South Africa's transition from a minority white rule to the majority black rule could be a foreshadow of the long term picture of Iraq. In South Africa, the white population is in a decline because of low reproduction and emigration. This may be the long term fate of the Sunnis as well as they are pressured to leave Iraq by the Shiites. Violently now, but through other forms of pressure as the security forces are cleaned up.

No comments: